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La Niña climate anomalies have historically been associated with substantial reductions in the atmospheric CO₂growth rate. However, the 2021 La Niña exhibited a unique near-neutral impact on the CO₂growth rate. In this study, we investigate the underlying mechanisms by using an ensemble of net CO₂fluxes constrained by CO₂observations from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 in conjunction with estimates of gross primary production and fire carbon emissions. Our analysis reveals that the close-to-normal atmospheric CO₂growth rate in 2021 was the result of the compensation between increased net carbon uptake over the tropics and reduced net carbon uptake over the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. Specifically, we identify that the extreme drought and warm anomalies in Europe and Asia reduced the net carbon uptake and offset 72% of the increased net carbon uptake over the tropics in 2021. This study contributes to our broader understanding of how regional processes can shape the trajectory of atmospheric CO₂concentration under climate change. 

Abstract Water stress regulates land‐atmosphere carbon dioxide (CO₂) exchanges in the tropics; however, its role remains poorly characterized due to the confounding roles of radiation, temperature and canopy dynamics. In particular, uncertainty stems from the relative roles of plant‐available water (supply) and atmospheric water vapor deficit (demand) as mechanistic drivers of photosynthetic carbon (C) uptake variability. Using satellite measurements of gravity, CO₂and fluorescence to constrain a mechanistic carbon‐water cycle model from 2001 to 2018, we found that the interannual variability (IAV) of water stress on photosynthetic C uptake was 52% greater than the combined effects of other factors. Surprisingly, the dominance of water stress on C uptake IAV was greater in the wet tropics (94%) than in the dry tropics (26%). Plant‐available water supply and atmospheric demand both contributed to the IAV of water stress on photosynthetic C uptake across the tropics, but the IAV of demand effects was 21% greater than the IAV of supply effects (33% greater in the wet tropics and 6% greater in the dry tropics). We found that the IAV of water stress on C uptake was 24% greater than the IAV of the combination of other factors in the net land‐atmosphere C sink in the whole tropics, 26% greater in the wet tropics, and 7% greater in the dry tropics. Given the recent trends in tropical precipitation and atmospheric humidity, our findings indicate that water stress——from both supply and demand——will likely dominate the climate response of land C sink across tropical ecosystems in the coming decades. 

Abstract Atmospheric humidity and soil moisture in the Amazon forest are tightly coupled to the region’s water balance, or the difference between two moisture fluxes, evapotranspiration minus precipitation (ET-P). However, large and poorly characterized uncertainties in both fluxes, and in their difference, make it challenging to evaluate spatiotemporal variations of water balance and its dependence on ET or P. Here, we show that satellite observations of the HDO/H 2 O ratio of water vapor are sensitive to spatiotemporal variations of ET-P over the Amazon. When calibrated by basin-scale and mass-balance estimates of ET-P derived from terrestrial water storage and river discharge measurements, the isotopic data demonstrate that rainfall controls wet Amazon water balance variability, but ET becomes important in regulating water balance and its variability in the dry Amazon. Changes in the drivers of ET, such as above ground biomass, could therefore have a larger impact on soil moisture and humidity in the dry (southern and eastern) Amazon relative to the wet Amazon. 

Abstract. In response to the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19),California issued statewide stay-at-home orders, bringing about abrupt anddramatic reductions in air pollutant emissions. This crisis offers us anunprecedented opportunity to evaluate the effectiveness of emissionreductions in terms of air quality. Here we use the Weather Research and Forecastingmodel with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) in combination with surface observations tostudy the impact of the COVID-19 lockdown measures on air quality insouthern California. Based on activity level statistics and satelliteobservations, we estimate the sectoral emission changes during the lockdown.Due to the reduced emissions, the population-weighted concentrations of fineparticulate matter (PM2.5) decrease by 15 % in southernCalifornia. The emission reductions contribute 68 % of the PM2.5concentration decrease before and after the lockdown, while meteorologyvariations contribute the remaining 32 %. Among all chemical compositions,the PM2.5 concentration decrease due to emission reductions isdominated by nitrate and primary components. For O3 concentrations, theemission reductions cause a decrease in rural areas but an increase in urbanareas; the increase can be offset by a 70 % emission reduction inanthropogenic volatile organic compounds (VOCs). These findings suggest thata strengthened control on primary PM2.5 emissions and a well-balancedcontrol on nitrogen oxides and VOC emissions are needed to effectively andsustainably alleviate PM2.5 and O3 pollution in southernCalifornia.